Polling Canada ​

Most Important Issue:

Jobs/Economy: 19%
Trump/US Relations: 16%
Inflation: 9%
Healthcare: 7%
Housing: 5%
Immigration: 4%
National Security: 3%
National Unity: 3%
World Peace: 3%
Debt/Deficit: 3%

Nanos / March 13, 2026 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online

Preferred Prime Minister Polling:

Carney: 57% (+1)
Poilievre: 22% (-)
Davies: 3% (+1)
Blanchet: 2% (-1)
May: 2% (-1)
Bernier: 2% (-1)

Unsure: 12%

Nanos / March 13, 2026 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online

(% Change With March 6, 2026)

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Federal Polling:

LPC: 48% (+4)
CPC: 31% (-10)
NDP: 11% (+5)
BQ: 5% (-1)
GPC: 4% (+3)
PPC: 1% (-)

Nanos / March 13, 2026 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online

(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)

Visit @338Canada for polling details: http://338canada.com

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Federal - British Columbia Polling:

LPC: 47% (+5)
CPC: 34% (-7)
NDP: 10% (-3)
GPC: 4% (+1)
PPC: 1% (-)
Others: 4%

Mainstreet / March 13, 2026 / n=1061 / MOE 3% / IVR

(% Change With 2025 Election)

Check out Federal details on @338Canada here: https://338canada.com

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British Columbia Provincial Polling:

NDP: 39% (-6)
CON: 37% (-7)
GRN: 12% (+4)
Others: 13%

Mainstreet / March 13, 2026 / n=1061 / MOE 3% / IVR

(% Change With 2024 Election)

Check out BC details on @338Canada here: https://338canada.com/bc/

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Federal Polling:

LPC: 46% (+2)
CPC: 36% (-5)
NDP: 7% (+1)
BQ: 6% (-)
PPC: 3% (+2)
GPC: 2% (+1)
Others: 2%

Mainstreet / March 2, 2026 / n=1061 / MOE 3% / IVR

(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)

Visit @338Canada for polling details: https://338canada.com

BC - Provincial Polling With (X) As Conservative Leader:

Milobar:
🔵 CON: 44%
🟠 NDP: 38%
🟢 GRN: 9%

Elliott:
🔵 CON: 40%
🟠 NDP: 39%
🟢 GRN: 11%

Black:
🔵 CON: 41%
🟠 NDP: 40%
🟢 GRN: 11%

Findlay:
🔵 CON: 40%
🟠 NDP: 40%
🟢 GRN: 11%

Mainstreet / March 13, 2026

Federal - Beaches East York Polling With (X) As NDP Leader + Candidate:

Lewis:
🟠 NDP: 43%
🔴 LPC: 39%
🔵 CPC: 14%
🟢 GPC: 2%

Ashton:
🔴 LPC: 56%
🟠 NDP: 25%
🔵 CPC: 14%
🟢 GPC: 3%

Mainstreet / March 13, 2026 / n=400

(% Change w 2025 Election)

Federal - Beaches East York Polling:

🔴 LPC: 67% (-1)
🔵 CPC: 17% (-7)
🟠 NDP: 12% (+5)
🟢 GPC: 3% (+2)

Mainstreet / March 13, 2026

(% Change With 2025 Election)

Pierre Poilievre Favourability Polling:

Men:
⚫️ Unfavourable: 50%
🟢 Favourable: 41%

Women:
⚫️ Unfavourable: 54%
🟢 Favourable: 35%

Other:
⚫️ Unfavourable: 59%
🟢 Favourable: 37%

Liaison / March 14, 2026

Pierre Poilievre Favourability Polling:

⚫️ Unfavourable: 52%
🟢 Favourable: 38%

Liaison / March 14, 2026

Mark Carney Approval Polling:

🟢 Approve: 63%
⚫️ Disapprove: 33%

Liaison / March 14, 2026

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Federal Polling:

LPC: 45% (+1)
CPC: 31% (-10)
NDP: 8% (+2)
BQ: 6% (-)
PPC: 4% (+3)
GPC: 3% (+2)
Others: 4%

Liaison / March 14, 2026 / n=951 / MOE 3.1% / IVR

(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)

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Most Important Issues - (Pick 3):

Cost Of Living: 65%
Trump: 41%
Economy: 39%
Healthcare: 31%
Housing: 31%
Immigration: 28%
Crime/Safety: 15%
Job Security: 14%
Inequality: 11%
Climate: 11%
Rise Of AI: 7%
Threats By Russia/China: 5%

Abacus / March 11, 2026 / n=1931 / Online

Approval Of The Federal Government:

Approve: 56% (+15)
Disapprove: 28% (+3)

Abacus / March 11, 2026 / n=1931 / Online

(% Change With March 2025)

Leader Net-Favourables:

Carney: +25%
Poilievre: -8%

Abacus / March 11, 2026 / n=1931 / Online

"Which is closer to your view about the next federal election?"

Liberals deserve re-election: 40%

Change the government + Good alternative available: 36%

Change the government - No good alternative available: 25%

Abacus / March 11, 2026 / n=1931 / Online

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Federal Polling:

LPC: 46% (+2)
CPC: 35% (-6
NDP: 7% (+1)
BQ: 7% (+1)
GPC: 3% (+2)
PPC: 1% (-)

Abacus / March 11, 2026 / n=1667 / Online

(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)

Visit @338Canada for polling details: https://338canada.com

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Alberta Provincial Polling:

UCP: 48% (-5)
NDP: 36% (-8)
ABP: 5% (+4)
GPA: 4% (+3)
ALP: 3% (+3)
WLC: 1% (+1)
Others: 2%

Leger / March 4, 2026 / n=805 / Online

(% Change With 2023 Election)

Check out AB model details from @338Canada here: http://338canada.com/alberta

Alberta - Support for Independence:

🔴 Remain: 70%
🔵 Independence: 17%

⚫️ Join The US: 4%

Leger / March 4, 2026

"Should Canada continue as a constitutional monarchy for generations to come?"

No: 47%
Yes: 29%

Unsure: 24%

Angus Reid / Feb 26, 2026

Support For Removing Prince Andrew From The Line Of Royal Succession:

Support: 84%
Oppose: 7%

Angus Reid / Feb 26, 2026

Mark Carney Approval Polling In:

Atlantic Canada:
🟢 Approve: 71%
⚫️ Disapprove: 23%

Saskatchewan/Manitoba:
🟢 Approve: 56%
⚫️ Disapprove: 37%

British Columbia:
🟢 Approve: 58%
⚫️ Disapprove: 36%

Liaison / March 7, 2026

Most Important Issue:

Jobs/Economy: 18%
Trump/US Relations: 17%
Inflation: 11%
Healthcare: 8%
Immigration: 5%
Housing: 4%
Environment: 3%
National Security: 3%
National Unity: 3%
Debt/Deficit 3%

Nanos / March 6, 2026 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online

Preferred Prime Minister Polling:

Carney: 57% (+1)
Poilievre: 22% (-)
May: 3% (-)
Blanchet: 2% (-1)
Davies: 2% (-)
Bernier: 2% (-)

Unsure: 13%

Nanos / March 6, 2026 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online

(% Change With February 27, 2026)

Alberta - Leader Net-Favourables:

Carney: +3%
Poilievre: +3%
Trump: -57%

Abacus / Feb 25, 2026 / n=1000 / Online

Alberta - Federal Government Approval:

Approve: 41%
Disapprove: 38%
Net: +3%

Abacus / Feb 25, 2026 / n=1000 / Online

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Federal Polling:

LPC: 46% (+2)
CPC: 31% (-10)
NDP: 10% (+4)
BQ: 5% (-1)
Others: 8%

Spark Insights / March 6, 2026 / n=3055 / Online

(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)

Visit @338Canada for polling details: https://338canada.com

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Alberta Federal Polling:

CPC: 51% (-13)
LPC: 36% (+8)
NDP: 7% (+1)
PPC: 2% (+1)
GPC: 1% (+1)
Others: 2%

Abacus / Feb 25, 2026 / n=1000 / Online

(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)

Visit @338Canada for polling details: https://338canada.com

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Alberta Provincial Polling:

UCP: 49% (-9)
NDP: 36% (-8)
ALP: 9% (+9)
ABP: 2% (+1)
Others: 2%

Abacus / Feb 25, 2026 / n=1000 / Online

(% Change With 2023 Election)

Check out AB model details from @338Canada here: http://338canada.com/alberta

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Federal Polling:

LPC: 49% (+5)
CPC: 35% (-6)
BQ: 5% (-1)
NDP: 5% (-1)
GPC: 3% (+2)
Others: 2%

Leger / March 2, 2026 / n=1435 / Online

(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)

Visit @338Canada for polling details: http://338canada.com

Leader Net-Approval Polling:

🔴 Carney: +25%
⚜️ Blanchet (QC): +4%

🟠 Davies: -6%
🟢 May: -7%
🔵 Poilievre: -7%
🟣 Bernier: -27%

Ipsos / Feb 26, 2026

"Should Canada have another federal election in 2026?"

No: 44%
Yes: 37%

Ipsos / Feb 26, 2026

(Models Available For Subscribers)

Federal Polling:

LPC: 44% (-)
CPC: 36% (-5)
NDP: 8% (+2)
BQ: 7% (+1)
GPC: 3% (+2)
PPC: 1% (-)

Ipsos / Feb 26, 2026 / n=826 / Online

(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)

Visit @338Canada for polling details: http://338canada.com

Most Important Issue:

Jobs/Economy: 17% (-)
Trump/US Relations: 17% (-)
Inflation: 11% (-3)
Healthcare: 8% (-)
Immigration: 5% (+1)
Housing: 4% (+1)
Environment: 3% (-1)
National Security: 3% (-)
National Unity: 3% (-)
World Peace: 2% (-)

Nanos / February 27, 2026 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online

(% Change With February 20, 2026)

Preferred Prime Minister Polling:

Carney: 56% (+2)
Poilievre: 22% (-1)
Blanchet: 3% (-)
May: 3% (-)
Bernier: 3% (+1)
Davies: 2% (-)

Unsure: 12%

Nanos / February 27, 2026 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online

(% Change With February 20, 2026)

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Federal Polling:

LPC: 44% (-)
CPC: 33% (-8)
NDP: 11% (+5)
BQ: 5% (-1)
GPC: 5% (+4)
PPC: 1% (-)

Nanos / Feb 27, 2026 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online

(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)

Visit @338Canada for polling details: http://338canada.com

"Which is closer to your view?"

Time For A Change - There's A Good Alternative: 39%
Time For A Change - There's No Good Alternative: 23%

Re-elect the Liberals: 37%

Abacus / Feb 23, 2026 / n=1500 / Online

"Are you concerned about the US being a potential threat to Canada's sovereignty?"

Concerned: 64%
Not Concerned: 19%
Neutral: 17%

Nanos / Feb 4, 2026

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Federal Polling:

LPC: 38% (-6)
CPC: 37% (-4)
NDP: 11% (+5)
BQ: 8% (+2)
GPC: 4% (+3)
PPC: 1% (-)

Nanos / Feb 13, 2026 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online

(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)

Visit @338Canada for polling details: http://338canada.com

Mark Carney Approval Polling:

🟢 Approve: 63%
⚫️ Disapprove: 32%

Liaison / Feb 14, 2026

(Models Available For Subscribers)

Federal Polling:

LPC: 43% (-1)
CPC: 34% (-7)
NDP: 10% (+4)
BQ: 6% (-)
GPC: 2% (+1)
PPC: 2% (+1)
Others: 2%

Liaison / Feb 14, 2026 / n=948 / MOE 3.1% / IVR

(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)

Visit @338Canada for polling details: http://338canada.com

"Which is closest to your view?"

Re-Elect The Liberals: 37%

Time For A Change - There's A Good Alternative: 27%
Time For A Change - There's No Good Alternative: 26%

Abacus / Feb 10, 2026

Leader Net-Approval Polling:

Carney: +22%
Poilievre: -7%

Abacus / Feb 10, 2026

(Models Available For Subscribers)

Federal Polling:

LPC: 44% (-)
CPC: 37% (-4)
NDP: 8% (+2)
BQ: 6% (-)
GPC: 3% (+2)
PPC: 1% (-)

Abacus / Feb 10, 2026 / n=1915 / Online

(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)

Visit @338Canada for polling details: https://338canada.com

Most Important Issue:

Jobs/Economy: 19% (+2)
Trump/US Relations: 18% (-)
Inflation: 12% (+1)
Healthcare: 6% (+1)
Immigration: 5% (+1)
Environment: 5% (-)
National Security: 4% (-1)
Housing: 3% (-1)
World Peace: 2% (+1)
Debt/Deficit: 1% (-1)

Nanos / February 6, 2026 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online

(% Change With January 30, 2026)

Preferred Prime Minister Polling:

Carney: 53% (-1)
Poilievre: 24% (-1)
Blanchet: 4% (-)
Davies: 3% (-1)
Bernier: 2% (-)
May: 1% (-)

Unsure: 12%

Nanos / February 6, 2026 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online

(% Change With January 30, 2026)

(Models Available For Subscribers)

Federal Polling:

LPC: 39% (-5)
CPC: 35% (-6)
NDP: 13% (+7)
BQ: 9% (+3)
GPC: 3% (+2)
PPC: 1% (-)

Nanos / Feb 6, 2026 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online

(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)

Visit @338Canada for polling details: http://338canada.com